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Table 4 Sensitivity analyses: key scenarios and corresponding ICERs and absolute cost differences for SPG versus medical management cohorts

From: Cost-effectiveness of stimulation of the sphenopalatine ganglion (SPG) for the treatment of chronic cluster headache: a model-based analysis based on the Pathway CH-1 study

Scenario

ICER

Absolute cost difference, SPG vs. control (€)

(€/QALY)

Base case

2,736

+889

Base case (undiscounted)

SPG dominating

−1,477

Pain relief 50.2 % (lower bound of 95 % CI)

18,846

6,125

Pain relief 80.5 % (upper bound of 95 % CI)

SPG dominating

−3,262

1.37 CH attacks per day (50 % of baseline)

50,590

16,442

4.11 CH attacks per day (150 % of baseline)

SPG dominating

−14,664

Utilization (cost) of attack-ending meds +25 %

SPG dominating

−6,887

Utilization (cost) of attack-ending meds −25 %

€26,663

8,665

No frequency response considered for SPG

13,180

4,284

Average frequency reduction low (15 %)

8,126

2,641

Average frequency reduction high (50 %)

SPG dominating

−1,191

No annual change in frequency response

220

72

Absolute annual reduction in frequency response of 6.2 % (double of base case assumption of 3.1 %)

5,251

1,707

Sumatriptan s.c. used by every patient (at dosage reported by [7], frequency-adjusted to Pathway CH-1; total medication cost per attack: €18.81)

SPG dominating

−33,609

Every attack treated by maximum guideline-defined medication dosages (total medication cost per attack: €56.66)

SPG dominating

−165,618

Assumption that stimulation device in required revisions would be paid by payers, as opposed to the manufacturer

12,351

4,014

Reduced timeframe of analysis 3.5 years

40,058

9,537

Extended timeframe of analysis 7.0 years

SPG dominating

−9,857

  1. Unless otherwise noted, discounting of 3 % is applied on all costs and effects